Alternative Visions

Alternative Visions- Zelensky’s 5 (+ 3) Point Plan for Victory in the Ukraine War

Last Wednesday October 17 Ukraine’s de facto president, Zelensky, gave a speech to his Parliament explaining his 5 point Plan for victory in Ukraine’s war with Russia. It wasn’t a military roadmap but a political list of demands on the US and NATO. He had previously presented the plan to Biden and other head of Europe NATO countries who had clearly pre-vetted the presentation, including no doubt the 3 additional points in the Plan to the 5 announced. Today’s show discusses the 5 points announced, and suggests what the ‘secret’ (Zelensky’s words) 3 additional might have included. Following his speech to Ukraine’s Parliament, Zelensky gave it again to NATO representatives in Brussels. Then gave a press interview in which he admitted the ‘plan’ was essentially to bring NATO quickly into Ukraine, or else—as Zelensky told the press—Ukraine would be a nuclear weapon. A double blackmail of NATO and Russia. For more details and discussion of the consequences, listen to my Friday, October 19 show.

Alternative Visions- Issues in the US November Election + BRICS Challenge to US Hegemony

Today’s show focuses on upcoming November election. The status in the swing states is reviewed. How the candidates stand on the two key issues in the election per polls: Economy and Decline of Democracy in USA. Trump v. Harris proposals on issues appealing to working class voters in the key 3 northern swing states: taxes on tips, overtime pay, social security income, SALT, interest tax deductions on auto loans. The real condition of inflation since 2019. Conflicting stats on real wages and take home pay. The Labor Dept latest jobs report. The silent issue neither candidate is talking about: runaway deficits and national debt and nearly $1 trillion/yr interest payments on the debt now. Why whoever wins in November will propose severe Austerity programs. How the BRICS expansion and new financial world system represents an existential threat to US global economic hegemony and empire and how it will blowback on US economy. Show concludes with discussion how both parties are engaged in destruction of US democracy.

Alternative Visions- Behind the ILA Strike + September Jobs Report

Why did ILA union leaders suspend their strike after just 3 days? Some reasons you won’t read in the mainstream media. The Union was in a very strong position to gain its demands, the most important being wage catch up and Artificial Intelligence threat to automate away jobs. After just 3 days the shippers also agreed to union’s demand for 62% wage hike (over 6 yrs.). Why so quickly as well? My Answer: Biden administration behind the scenes warned the ILA it would implement the Taft-Hartley law to force workers back for another 80 days if the union did not go back to work.  This was the Biden ‘carrot’ to the ‘stick’ threat of Taft Hartlely. Shippers could easily afford the wage increase but want AI-automation more for long run profits. Now ILA union will resume negotiations in January 15 on the job security AI-automation issue, but without its current bargaining leverage of pre-election and holiday season strike. Second half of show addresses the Sept. jobs numbers explaining why 254k Sept new jobs vs. August’s 128k. Media confused as to the change. Listen to my simple explanation for the Aug v. Sept difference

Alternative Visions- Why US Economy Remains #1 Issue in 2024 Election

 today’s show addresses #1 issue in polls that US economy remains the key issue in the Nov 2024 elections with voter concern for inflation remaining at the core. Harris says inflation has ‘come down’ & Trump says prices remain unaffordable. Which is true? Both. The show reviews the current high plateaued level of prices, including housing, rents, gasoline, food, autos and insurances, between 25%-35% above 2019 depending on sources. The candidates ‘dueling tax’ cut promises are compared and the condition of 120m households’ debt now at record levels (mortgage, credit card, autos, student loans) with delinquencies beginning to appear. Ability of consumers to continue spending given minimal real wage raises, rising debt & declining household savings rate, rising poverty rate and 40% increase of use of food banks since 2022. Unemployment at 8% (not 4.3%) per govt’s U-6 statistic. The show concludes with discussion of recent Zelensky-Biden meeting and US media-elite criticism of Zelensky’s ‘Victory Plan’

Alternative Visions- Fed Rate Cut + Wars Update + EU’s ‘Plan B’

Today’s show covers what’s behind Fed’s .50 pt rate cut? Powell says Fed because ‘economy is good’. More likely because US goods sector economy weak. Data shows US goods sector in recession. Fed GDP forecast for 3^rd quarter 1.7%, closer to 1^st quarter’s 1.4% not 2^nd’s 2.8%. Why massive US deficits & debt will mean big austerity spending cuts in 2025 further deepening recession. Wars update: the Mossad ‘pager’ sabotage event and almost certain war against Hezbollah in north within weeks. Netanyahu’s strategy: get US in war with Iran. Zelensky’s pending ‘victory plan’ & political maneuvering behind allowing UK missiles to attack deep into Russia. Pentagon vs Neocons & why Biden delayed decision until 9-26. The EU’s desperate ‘plan B’ to fund Ukraine. Why it won’t work any more than ‘Plan A’.

Alternative Visions- Ukraine War Escalation + 2nd Presidential Debate Analysis + Boeing Strike?

first half of today’s show discusses the ominous escalation in the Ukraine war with US/UK approval for Ukraine to use US/UK long range missiles to target deep into Russia. Putin’s ominous warning of ‘war with NATO’. What happened to Zelensky’s ‘Victory Plan’? How Ukraine has been sabotaging efforts by BRICS to arrange negotiations. What’s happening on the Kursk and Donbass fronts in Ukraine. Political instability growing within NATO ranks (Germany, France, USA). Is Biden or the neocons now running the US govt? Why 32,000 Boeing workers rejected the pattern contract proposal. My review of the recent Trump-Harris presidential debate. Why neither candidate addressed the #1 issue of the economy according to polls. What was covered and not addressed in the debate. (For detailed print analysis read my article ‘The 2^nd First Presidential Debate’ on my blog, http://jackrasmus.com (or on Counterpunch, LA Progressive, Z, or World Financial Review public blogs).

Alternative Visions- Labor Day 2024: The Condition of America’s Working Class

today’s show focuses on the condition of the US working class in terms of wages, jobs, debt, and unions as of labor day 2024 today. Citing various US government data sources, and contrary to the selective cherry picked stats that appear in the US mainstream media and cited by politicians, the picture for US workers today in terms of wages, jobs, debt and their unions show continued stagnation or decline over the past year, and especially since 2020.  Even based on US government data sources, US economic GDP since 2021 has been weak given the $10 trillion plus fiscal-monetary stimulus since 2020. Workers’ wages continue to contract in real terms given the period of inflation. The jobs created have been far less than the Biden administration has claimed. And US unions continue to tread water in terms of membership. (For a published print version of this analysis, those interested may read the same analysis at my personal blog at https://jackrasmus.com/2024/09/02/labor-day-2024-the-condition-of-the-american-working-class-today/

Alternative Visions- A Tale of Two Offensives: Is the Ukraine War Approaching Endgame?

today’s Alternative Visions show focuses in detail on the current status of the war in Ukraine in general, and specifically on the two main offensives in progress: Russia in the Donbass region and Ukraine in the Kursk region. What’s the status of forces on both sides. Why did Ukraine invade Kursk on August 6 and how is that progressing after two weeks? Did the Russians get caught off guard? Why did Russia invade Kharkov region last May and why is there a stalemate there? What’s happening in the Donbass region and why Russia is accelerating its gains there. Finally, by invading Kursk have the Ukrainians in effect decided to sacrifice the Donbass to Russia? Show concludes with a brief commentary on RFKjr’s decision to leave the US election race and endorse Trump. (Check out my blog jackasmus.com for a detailed print article, ‘A Tale of Two Offensives’ on Monday as well).

Alternative Visions- Ukraine War Update + CPI & PPI Inflation Reports

First half of show discusses Ukraine war and specifically what’s behind Ukraine’s recent invasion into Russia’s Kursk region. What’s Ukraine & Russia respectively strategies and objectives in Kursk. 3 Ukraine objectives. Russia objectives. Which side’s strategic reserves will be exhausted first? A detail discussion follows of today’s Wall St. Journal article (a CIA planted piece?) about who destroyed the Nordstream pipeline 2 yrs ago. Why the piece is part of media preparation to prepare public for removal of Zelensky after the US election. Why Ukraine negotiations are now impossible and China has ended efforts to arrange talks. Some reasons why Iran hasn’t responded to Israel yet. How Zionists in US are preparing to thwart student protests this fall. Second half of show turns to US economy and recent PPI and CPI reports last week. What’s declining in price and what’s not in July. The chronic and continuing big problem of Rents. How landlords are gaming prices as real US average weekly wages falling. What’s coming in producer prices. Continuing high level of consumer inflation for housing, food, gasoline now embedded in economy despite recent CPI reports. US Households’ record debt (mortgage, credit cards, auto, student, medical, etc.) as percent of income at 54%.

Alternative Visions- Ukraine’s Counter Offensive + US Real Economy & Tech Bubble

 First half of today’s show discusses Ukraine’s offensive into Russia. What are Ukraine’s possible objectives? Initial successful tactics. Why did Russia not see it coming? Russia’s response to date and consequences for efforts to start negotiations. What’s the condition of the US real economy. Growing concern early phase of recession, as the goods sector of the economy weakens: unemployment rising, real retail sales contracting, PMI manufacturing continues 8^th month of decline, net exports deeply negative, and construction turning down again. Explanations of actual GDP, inflation, jobs data. Investors call for emergency Fed rate cuts before Sept. Why the Fed won’t. How the tech bubble and Japan’s carry trade are interrelated