Episodes
Tuesday Jan 31, 2023
Alternative Visions - US GDP 2022 Analysis
Tuesday Jan 31, 2023
Tuesday Jan 31, 2023
Dr. Rasmus reviews the details of the just announced advance report on US GDP for 2022 and its 4th quarter. After a contraction throughout the first six months of 2022, the US economy ‘recovered’ at only a 2.9% rate in 4th quarter after a meager 3.2% in third quarter. For the entire year US GDP registered a mere 2.1% ‘average for year’ growth. That’s down from 5.9% from 2021 when the economy reopened from the Covid shutdowns. And both those grossly weak numbers occurred after a combined US fiscal-monetary stimulus of more than $8 trillion, provided by the Biden administration (Covid relief, spending, tax cuts) a more than $4 trillion and another $4 trillion provided by the Federal Reserve central bank. Rasmus breaks down the details of the composition of the 2022 weak 2.1% GDP rise, noting the growth due to excessive business inventory expansion (to decline in 2023), contracting real retail sales at the end of 2022, a continuing housing sector contraction, slowing US exports as the world economy slows, and coming US govt austerity social program spending in 2023.